EC&V Pty Ltd: TROPOMI CSF: Hail Creek

Hail Creek Mine

Geography and Climatology

The Hail Creek mine is located in central Queensland on the western slopes of the Great Dividing Range, approximately 90 (km) inland from the Pacific Ocean. For modelling purposes, we assume the mine centre to be located at 21.473073°S, 148.379686°E Google Maps. (C. L. Imagery @2025 Airbus, Producer, & Google) .

To characterise the terrain surrounding the Hail Creek mine, we use 9 arc second elevation data from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) Hutchinson, et al., 2008 , which are available for download from Geoscience Australia SRTM Download . .

Figure 3 illustrates the regional orography and key geographical features relevant to this study, including the Pacific Ocean coastline, the Great Dividing Range running parallel to the coast, the locations of nearby mines (shown by black markers), and the Moranbah Airport Automatic Weather Station Automatic Weather Station (AWS) , indicated by a green marker.

Figure 3. SRTM 9s topography over domain Hutchinson, et al., 2008 . Coal mines operating in FY2018, 2019 and 2020 Coal Industry Statistical Tables FY 2010 - current . Black dots describe mine location from location from Google Maps. (C. L. Imagery @2025 Airbus, Producer, & Google) .The green dot is Moranbah AWS.

The mine itself is situated within a northwest-southeast oriented valley, with elevations on the northeastern side rising to approximately 1,200 m and those on the southwestern side reaching about 400 m. The valley is approximately 30 km wide, as shown in Figure 4 below.

Figure 4. SRTM 9s topography Hutchinson, et al., 2008 . Detail of the previous image.

Large scale meteorological features of the Australian climate relevant to the Hail Creek study are described by the Bureau of Meteorology Australian Climate Influences . Of particular relevance is the position and behaviour of the Sub Tropical Ridge (STR) . As described on the Bureau of Meteorology website ( STR ):

It is a belt of high pressure that encircles the globe in the middle latitudes.

The position of the sub-tropical ridge plays an important part in the way the weather in Australia varies from season to season.

During the warmer half of the year in southern Australia (November to April), the sub-tropical ridge is generally located to the south of the continent…

In autumn the sub-tropical ridge moves northward and remains over the Australian continent for most of the colder half of the year in southern Australia (May to October). Conditions along the ridge, under the influence of the high-pressure systems dry and descending air, tend to be stable and drier.

Two illustrative examples of the influence of the STR on rainfall patterns across Australia are presented on the Sub Tropical Ridge - Example page. Extensive research has also examined the impact of the STR on Australian climate variability; a comprehensive synthesis of this work is provided by Pepler, et al. 2018 , along with the references cited therein.

TROPOMI observations of CH4 require clear sky conditions; therefore, regions influenced by the STR can be expected to exhibit a relatively high availability of valid satellite pixels. Climatological maps of monthly averaged cloud cover over Australia, published by the Bureau of Meteorology, help explain the seasonal and spatial distribution of TROPOMI observations and their dependence on the position of the TROPOMI . For example, cloud cover charts at 3 p.m. local time for February and August are available from the Bureau of Meteorology ( Cloud cover 3pm February ; Cloud cover 3pm August ). A similar spatial pattern is evident in Figure S1 of Lauvaux, et al., 2022 , which shows S5P Level-2 XCH4 coverage and closely resembles the multi year mean 3 p.m. cloud cover climatology for 2020-2021.

Climatologically, the Hail Creek mine lies north of the STR, which is typically positioned south of the Australian continent during summer and near the New South Wales-Queensland border in winter. Wind rose analysis from the Moranbah AWS shows that more than half of the observed winds originate from the southeast quadrant (see Figure 5), following the standard meteorological convention for wind direction.

Figure 5. Moranbah AWS wind rose for period 2018-01-01 to 2021-07-29. (Data from Bureau of Meteorology)

Coal Mine

The mine extracts coal from the Elphinstone Seam and Hynds Seam Fast Facts. Hail Creek Open Cut and it produces coking and thermal coal.

The mine pit is not captured in the SRTM dataset, as the SRTM measurements were acquired prior to the development of the Hail Creek mine. Construction of the mine began in 2001, and operations commenced in 2003, whereas the SRTM data were collected between 11 and 22 February 2000 Hutchinson, et al., 2008 . The main pit is, however, clearly visible in contemporary satellite imagery Google Maps. (C. L. Imagery @2025 Airbus, Producer, & Google) and currently extends approximately 5 km in length and 1.5 km in width.

LIDAR measurements conducted in October 2022 indicate that, at that time, coal extraction occurred at depths of approximately 180-200 m below ground level, with the pit floor reaching depths of about 220-250 m below the surface Borchardt, et al., 2025 .

Coal Production

During the sale of its interest in the mine, Rio Tinto reported that in 2017 the Hail Creek operation produced approximately 9.4 (Mt) of saleable coal, comprising 5.25 (Mt) of hard coking coal and 4.13 (Mt) of thermal coal Rio Tinto, 2018 . In August 2018, Glencore became the operator of the Hail Creek mine after acquiring a majority interest in the operation and the surrounding coal resources.

The activity data used in Sadavarte, et al., 2021 , reproduced in Table 1 above, are not explicitly referenced in the original publication. Reported production values are 7.7 (Mt) for 2018-2019 and 5.8 (Mt) for 2019-2020. The paper refers to a gridded dataset described in Sadavarte, et al., 2022 , in which the grid cell centred at latitude -21.5° and longitude 148.35° reports a coal production value of 5.5865655 (Mt). This value appears to be derived from a Queensland Government dataset that is no longer publicly accessible. The gridded dataset itself is available for download via Zenodo .

The Queensland Government publishes two primary statistical datasets related to coal production. The first, Coal Industry Statistical Tables FY 2010 - current , is released annually and provides a continuous time series from 2010 to the most recent reporting year. Within this dataset, the worksheet titled Coal production by mine reports, for each mine, year, and coal type, three key production metrics: Gross Raw Feed, Gross Raw Output, and Net Output , defined as follows:

Gross-Raw Output:
This is the amount, in tonnes, of raw coal produced as a result of mining activities undertaken at the mine during the period. Irrespective of whether or not some/all of that coal may be subsequently sold without being beneficiated, in providing this figure, the assumption is to be made that all coal mined at the coal face(s) during the period is delivered to the Run-of-Mine stockpile.
Gross-Raw Feed:
This is the amount, in tonnes, of raw coal received by the processing plant and any tonnage bypassing the plant to become saleable product during the reporting period.
Net Output:
The total amount, in tonnes, of saleable coal produced during the period, i.e. washed saleable product PLUS other saleable product. For tailings recovery operations, the total saleable output for the period is required.

An extract of the Hail Creek coal production data from these statistics is provided in Table 4.

Table 4. Hail Creek Mine, Source: Coal Industry Statistical Tables FY 2010 - current . Download
Financial yearCoal typeActivity DiscardsGross Raw Feed (t)Gross Raw Output (t)Net Output (t)
FY2025Coal1615475010807512
FY2025Coking4452342
FY2025Thermal3469428
FY2025Wash Discard8803589
FY2024Coal165753619592586
FY2024Coking3895983
FY2024Thermal3977955
FY2024Wash Discard9598043
FY2023Coal1683541310092999
FY2023Coking4545708
FY2023Thermal3082427
FY2023Wash Discard9389503
FY2022Coal1743611010783931
FY2022Coking5140618
FY2022Thermal2658374
FY2022Wash Discard9766081
FY2021Coal1302425010594483
FY2021Coking4698426
FY2021Thermal1024118
FY2021Wash Discard7223108
FY2020Coal148784589468696
FY2020Coking5441586
FY2020Thermal3014628
FY2020Wash Discard3819050
FY2019Coal156160017660496
FY2019Coking5535276
FY2019Thermal3612680
FY2019Wash Discard2386331
FY2018Coal1000007610203613
FY2018Coking5356850
FY2018Thermal4175818
FY2018Wash Discard967078
FY2017Coal91665599195752
FY2017Coking5178543
FY2017Thermal4032202
FY2017Wash Discard1303906
FY2016Coal1043991410228814
FY2016Coking6071692
FY2016Thermal3455348
FY2016Wash Discard1523574
FY2015Coal1170962411614548
FY2015Coking6392465
FY2015Thermal3110521
FY2015Wash Discard2287804
FY2014Coal1172625811911568
FY2014Coking6748102
FY2014Thermal989488
FY2014Wash Discard3988668
FY2013Coal1180494612063330
FY2013Coking7068582
FY2013Wash Discard4736364
FY2012Coal1276764112817071
FY2012Coking7485638
FY2012Wash Discard5282003
FY2011Coal1202527211983327
FY2011Coking6878982
FY2011Wash Discard5146290
FY2010Coal1234990812554146
FY2010Coking6631738
FY2010Wash Discard5718170

This information is summarised in Figure 6 below, which indicates a qualitative change in production characteristics following the transfer of ownership from BHP to Glencore. While this shift may partly reflect changes in data definitions or reporting practices, it is also possible that the wash plant began processing coal from additional sources beyond the Hail Creek mine.

Figure 6. Hail Creek mine. Production data for FY 2010 - 2025. Coal Industry Statistical Tables FY 2010 - current

For FY 2019 (July 2018-June 2019), Palmer, et al., 2021 cite the Coal Industry Statistical Tables FY 2010 - current , which report a Gross Raw Output of 7.66 (Mt) for Hail Creek. It is likely that this same value was adopted by Sadavarte, et al., 2021 .

For FY 2020, we were unable to identify the source of the 5.8 (Mt) production value used by Sadavarte, et al., 2021 .

The second annually updated dataset is Annual Coal Statistics CY 2017 - current . This workbook includes a spreadsheet titled Top 10 producing mines, which reports two metrics, Total Net Output and otal Gross Raw OutputT, using the same definitions as those in the Coal Industry Statistical Tables. According to this dataset, the Hail Creek mine ranked 10th in Total Net Output in both 2018 and 2019, while it did not appear in the top-10 ranking for Total Gross Raw Output during those years. In contrast, in 2020 and 2021, Hail Creek entered the top-10 list for Total Gross Raw Output, ranking 8 th, while simultaneously dropping out of the top-10 ranking for Total Net Output.

An extract of the Hail Creek coal production data from these statistics is provided in Table 5.

Table 5. Hail Creek Mine. Source: Annual Coal Statistics CY 2017 - current . Download
Calendar YearTotal Net Output (t)Total Gross Raw Output (t)
20229833100
202111629180
20209849473
20198751078
20189028926
20179500316

It is worth noting that in calendar year (CY) 2019, the Gross Raw Output of the 10 th ranked mine was 10,443,890 (t); in CY 2018 it was 11,057,616 (t); and in CY 2017 it was 10,022,541 (t). Because Hail Creek did not appear in the top-10 Gross Raw Output ranking during these years, these values represent upper bounds on Hail Creek's Gross Raw Output for the corresponding periods.

These datasets are difficult to reconcile and interpret consistently. As the primary objective of this work is the development and demonstration of software tools, we leave the resolution and interpretation of these data discrepancies to the reader and the respective data providers.

Methane Emissions

At the time of writing, several emission estimates are available for different time periods. These estimates are summarised in Table 6 below.

Table 6. Hail Creek Emission Estimate. Download
SourceCH4(Ggyear)PeriodMethod
Sadavarte, et al., 2021 230.0Apr 2018 - Dec 2019TROPOMI -> CSF
Palmer, et al., 2021 42.9Apr 2018 - Dec 2018TROPOMI -> GEOS-Chem -> Ensemble Kalman Filter
Open Methane (beta) 19.5Jan 2023 - Jun 2023TROPOMI -> WRF -> CMAQ
Borchardt, et al., 2025 219Apr 2018 - Dec 2023TROPOMI -> WFMD -> CSF
Borchardt, et al., 2025 122.6 31 May 2022
3 Jun 2022
Aircraft
Borchardt, et al., 2025 8428 Sep 2023Aircraft
Borchardt, et al., 2025 9929 Sep 2023Aircraft

Please note that the Open Methane dataset is currently in a beta stage and is undergoing recalculation for 2023. The official release of the validated dataset is expected by the end of 2025 (private communication, Lindsey Gaines, The Superpower Institute, 23 July 2025).

Methane emissions reported by Glencore under the National Greenhouse and Energy Reporting (NGER) scheme are not publicly available; however, it is likely that they are calculated using one of the emission factors recommended under the NGER framework, applied to reported activity data.

Implied Emission Factor

The Implied Emission Factor (IEF) is calculated as the ratio of estimated CH4 emissions to reported raw coal production activity data. In the analysis presented in the Sadavarte, et al., 2021 Supporting Information , CH4 emissions for the years 2018 and 2019 are estimated at approximately 230 (Ggyear) each, yielding a combined total of 460 (Gg). The corresponding activity data are taken as the sum of raw coal production for the same period ( 7.7+5.8(Mt) ), resulting in an implied emission factor of

IEF=460/13.5=34.1(gkg).

© 2026 Copyright EC&V Pty Ltd
ABN 23 114 756 688
Last Updated: